Tuesday, October 13, 2026
What Do We Focus On?
Sunday, October 11, 2026
Follow The Money (Or the meme coin)
It's not exactly new information that he bankrupted several casinos, lost money on several big real estate ventures, and started up numerous businesses (Trump Steaks, Trump Vodka, Trump Mortgage, Trump University, Trump Magazine...) that failed.
He's infamous for refusing to pay contractors what they were owed on many of these catastrophes. In fact, despite running what should have been successful businesses into the ground, he always managed to make sure he got paid. Without getting overly technical, Trump did this by hiring accountants who knew the tax code inside and out. It was extremely rare that Trump was investing his own money in these endeavors. Set up an LLC, take out a loan, list himself as a consultant or advisor with a guaranteed fee, and even if the business goes under, he still received his check. The loss and loan default is against the LLC, not Trump personally, and as a bonus, the loss flows through to its owners, including Trump, reducing his tax liability. None of this is illegal. I saw similar shenanigans on a smaller scale when I worked in Tax Incentives, but it illustrates that Trump wasn't a good businessman, i.e. someone who grows a business, providing jobs for a community while providing a return on investment to shareholders, but someone who was extremely adept at self dealing.
Why would we believe that this basic fact of his personality would somehow disappear when he became president?
Trump's financial disclosure report for 2025, his first year back as president, was made public recently. It showed income of over $2 billion, triple what he reported for the previous year. (Who knows how accurate his reporting even is?) About half of that was from cryptocurrency. Here is a quote from an NPR interview with Eric Lipton of the New York Times:
"The two biggest chunks come from his meme coin, which he
launched three days before his inauguration. It was a kind of a collectible
that surged in value initially, and the people who quickly invested made a
boatload of money, but then it crashed, and hundreds of thousands of people
then lost money.
Trump made hundreds of millions of dollars from that gamble
that he asked people to follow on him on. And many of his followers ended up as
losers. The second big chunk of revenue comes from World Liberty Financial, a
company that he and his sons started in October of 2024.
That company is now one of the biggest issuers of what's called stablecoins in the world, and it was bought secretly and — half of it — by the United Arab Emirates in January of 2025, just as he was being sworn in to be president.
And the UAE separately has invested $2 billion into its
stablecoin, making it one of the biggest stablecoin issuers in the world. So, I
mean, the it is really intensely tied up with a foreign government. And the
president is profiting from that foreign government's investment in his own
business at the same time as he is acting as commander in chief and working
with that foreign government to negotiate a war in the Middle East."
I admit that there's a lot about cryptocurrency, starting with Bitcoin and including every scam by some guy with a laptop, that I don't understand. But this sounds a lot like a pump and dump — like was portrayed in the movie Boiler Room — convince people that worthless stock is a great investment. Trump made a ridiculous amount of money selling...nothing. The meme coin, if it ever had any value, certainly doesn't now. All it accomplished was providing a cash pipeline to Trump from credulous investors. Or maybe they weren't all that credulous. Doesn't it seem like a stable coin without any real value would be the perfect conduit for bribes? What value are the "investors" receiving if not the access any large donor would expect? The opportunities for money laundering aren't insignificant either.
"......there are new real estate deals in the Middle East,
in Vietnam, in Romania, in the Maldives. He's struck a bunch of deals that
include some deals that are actually with foreign governments, like the
government of Saudi Arabia and in Qatar as well.
And then there are, as you mentioned, settlements from lawsuits and that are being paid to him from media companies. And there's also money in there from Melania, from Jeff Bezos and Amazon for the documentary. I mean, there's just — it's quite a crazy array of sources of revenue going to a sitting president.
...there's nothing like this in American history."
I'm not sure if Trump is donating his presidential salary as he did during his first term, but his $450,000 salary is peanuts compared to what he's raking in from what amounts to influence peddling. A lot of hot air has been exchanged about insider trading, and how stock trades by Congress should be banned. All of that pales in comparison to what is being done by Trump.
"...the big question here is, if Mr. Trump was not president,
could he or would he have made the same amount of money that he did?
It's hard to imagine that if he were not president that there would — that his meme coin or — it would be as profitable as it has been, or that there would have been the scale of investment in World Liberty Financial and the stablecoin.
It is — it seems as if his status as president is intimately intertwined with the success of those companies. And, I mean, the fact that he launched the meme coin as they were gathering in an auditorium in D.C. three days before his inauguration for what was called the Crypto Ball — it was a bunch of crypto executives and administration — soon-to-be administration officials there to celebrate his inauguration.
And that's the night he launched it. And it was like, follow
me as I lead the world. These things are so intertwined, I think it's hard to
imagine he would have made as much money. He's never made this much money in
his entire life as he's made in this one year. So I think that's part of your
answer right there.
The pay-to-pardon scheme that Trump has going has also become a lucrative income stream. Anyone with a few million lying around can get a Get-Out-Of-Jail-Not-So-Free card from Trump.
Let's not forget all his shady stock trades. From Democracy Now:
"...he purchased as much as $5 million in SpaceX bonds shortly
before he signed a new space policy that could benefit Elon Musk and his
company. In total, Trump bought up to $250 million in stocks in August,
including an investment of up to $25 million in Meta, the parent company of
Facebook. Such stock trading by a sitting president is unprecedented. ABC recently
reported Trump made 21,000 securities trades during his first year back in
office. By contrast, Joe Biden made a total of 13 trades during his entire
term. In related news, on Thursday, Trump honored SpaceX founder Elon Musk and
other tech executives at a White House science summit."
From The New York Times:
I"t is hardly the only issue to arise from having a businessman serve as president. The president’s family business, the Trump Organization, has also capitalized on Mr. Trump’s popularity in certain parts of the world, licensing the Trump name to properties in countries that are crucial to U.S. foreign policy interests, including Saudi Arabia and Qatar. Those two deals alone generated more than $14 million for Mr. Trump last year, the filing shows."
With Trump, if you want to know the answer to why anything is being done, just follow the money.
Wednesday, October 7, 2026
Nebraskans Cheering The Nuking Of California
One of the things that irritate me to no end is when words are taken out of context and used to attack someone. There's an anti-Lynne Walz ad going around which quotes in writing an ally of hers from when she was a State Senator says "I will burn this session to the ground" — metaphorically of course. The Senator was making the point that she would do whatever it took to prevent a harmful bill from being passed. However the voiceover quotes her as saying that she threatened to burn down the state capitol building, which is, of course, not the same thing. It's irritating and infuriating when the red hats do it, it's irritating and disappointing when people with whom I share political views do it. What's been going around social media this past week is the claim that Trump, while speaking in Grand Island, either encouraged Iran to bomb Los Angeles and San Diego or said that bombing Los Angeles and San Diego was a small price to pay. I maintain that his words are being taken out of context and interpreted incorrectly.
If you are a regular reader of this blog, or even follow me on Facebook, you know that I am far from a Trump supporter. I regularly write about how dangerous he is, how incompetent he is, how he is essentially ruling as a dictator. I'm writing this because I believe in accuracy, and that there are plenty of things to criticize Trump about without creating issues that aren't there.
FactCheck.org posted an analysis of Trump's remarks on their website. (Quotes from that article will be in this fontI had posted a short statement n my Facebook page as well. It's my opinion that the context doesn't support the conclusion that Trump was encouraging Iran to bomb Los Angeles and San Diego or that he said that bombing Los Angeles and San Diego was a small price to pay.
Trump is one of the worst public speakers that I have ever heard. He rambles & changes course in the middle of what I loosely call his thoughts. His cult says they love him because he says what he means, but then have to explain that what we heard isn’t really what he meant. Part of the problem is that they’ll excuse anything, another part of the problem is that he makes no effort to speak clearly and concisely. Most presidents employ speechwriters who will take the president's thoughts and craft them into something concise and coherent. Trump thinks he knows better. He thinks he's a great extemporaneous speaker. He's not so great at reading a prepared speech either. The goal of reading a prepared speech is to act like you're not reading! Trump appears like he's a seeing the speech for the first time and stumbles through as if he's a remedial reader. That's the problem (as it always is) with Trump. Even when he's not lying he has no ability to express himself clearly.
"While his wording is confusing, a more plausible
interpretation is that he meant the war would prevent Iran from posing a threat
to U.S. cities, and higher gas prices are a small sacrifice to make. He’s made
versions of those points before, using similar language."
I believe that it's the more plausible interpretation because of the context. He starts off by saying “And again, remember, with the war it's just artificial, it's a little bit high" — referring to oil prices. He follows up with "It's a small price to pay for keeping the world safe, keeping our country safe." This is a point that he and his cult have made repeatedly, that high oil prices are the price we need to pay to keep us safe. It's a separate issue whether that's true or not. It's not obvious that Iran is a threat to us, or that they are building a nuclear weapon. And of course high gas prices under Biden was a huge problem to them in 2024 — so much so that it was the excuse many gave for voting for Trump. Let's not forget the whole "Peace President Schtick".
Nonetheless, Trump has been consistent in his messaging that high gas prices are temporary and the necessary result of protecting the nation from an Iranian threat. He said this on September 28th: “The one thing already has happened is, Iran will never have a nuclear weapon,” he said in the Oval Office on Sept. 28. “That’s a very big thing, because if you want to see turmoil and a travesty, let them take out a city with a nuclear weapon. I’m not only talking about Israel and big parts of the Middle East, but let them hit us with a nuclear weapon.” Note his use of the wording "let them". Contextually, it means "if it happens", not "I am allowing it to happen".
Trump's next phrase, the one that has been consistently taken out of context is "They can take out a city. Let them take, let it, let them take out Los Angeles. Let them take out San Diego.". And out of context it sounds terrible. It's as if he's telling Iran: go ahead and "take out" these cities. See the quote above from FactCheck.org regarding his previous use of the phrase. I have seen this phrase quoted over and over, mostly without the lead in phrase about gas prices, which causes it to mean something completely different than the context suggests. And the following phrase "That's a very small price to pay, and it's going to be over very soon. It's essentially almost over with." which, without the initial phrase “And again, remember, with the war it's just artificial, it's a little bit high" it sounds like he's saying that the destruction of two American cities is a small price to pay.
My conclusion is that Trump was justifying the high cost of oil by claiming that (1) It was temporary and (2) It was a necessary price to pay for national security and invoked the image of Iran hypothetically destroying American cities to make his point that the war was all about protecting the American people.
All bullshit, but consistent bullshit.
The bigger issue in my view was the cheering that accompanied his phrase "Let them take, let it, let them take out Los Angeles. Let them take out San Diego". Trump may not have meant it as the destruction of two (liberal) American cities being a small price to pay, but the crowd sure thought he did. And they cheered for it. A reliable applause line in any political race in Nebraska is the demonization of people from New York and California. Bob Kerrey, a former Senator and Governor who grew up in Nebraska, was a business owner, was a Navy SEAL and Medal of Honor recipient, who lost a leg in war, was vilified because he took a job in New York. I imagine if I had ever run for office the prime thing used against me would be that I grew up in New York City — never mind that I have lived here since 1981. But cheering for nuclear annihilation of fellow Americans? I guess that's just the other side of "Nebraska Nice".
Update:
Someone I briefly engaged with on social media claimed that Trump repeated the same remarks the next day (actually two days later) "proving" that he DID mean it. Mean what exactly? That he was saying that the destruction of Los Angeles and San Diego is a small price to pay? I don't think so.
Here's his quote from his rally in Texas: “Just as I promised, I am ensuring that Iran will never have a nuclear weapon, oil prices are a little” high but will come down as soon as the war ends. You want to see trauma? You want to see problems? And I said it the other day, let them hit a missile into San Diego or Los Angeles on the way. You want to see a horror show? Let them hit San Diego. Let them hit Los Angeles, you want to see some bad things happen? You want see a country in free fall? We’re not going to let that happen. We protect our cities. We protect our country. We’re not letting that happen.”
I stand by my comments that Trump was not suggesting that Iran "taking out" Los Angeles. He is addressing what he believes is unwarranted complaining about high fuel prices, maintaining that American cities are at risk of an attack by Iran if he doesn't pursue the war against Iran. His reasoning is bullshit, but he's not saying what many people are saying he's saying.
Wednesday, September 30, 2026
Monopoly Money?
- 2016 0.59
- 2017 0.67
- 2018 0.78
- 2019 0.98
- 2020 3.13 (Covid)
- 2021 2.77 (Covid)
- 2022 1.38
- 2023 1.70
- 2024 1.83
- 2025 1.78
Monday, September 28, 2026
Billy Bob And The Winning Team
Monday, September 21, 2026
The President of Peace
Monday, August 31, 2026
Nebraska Tax Incentives in Political Ads
The goal of NAA is to reward companies who do two things: (1) Increase employment compensation in Nebraska and (2) Increase investment in Nebraska. There are multiple tiers within the program — each tier has a different benchmark for how much additional employment (measured by total compensation) and investment is required. For example, Tier 1 projects require $1 million in additional investment and 10 additional Full Time Equivalents (FTE's); Tier 2 requires $3 million in additional investment and 30 additional FTE's. The requirements increase with each tier. There are sub-tiers for large data centers and a tier for investment only.
The year that a company applies is called "the base year". The applicant must show increases in compensation and investment compared to the base year. In order to determine what is an the increase a "qualification audit" is done to determine what the increase in compensation and investment actually is. A preliminary review of the applicant's calculations is done by an examiner. The applicant provides a list of employees and investment in the base year as well as the years that they believe they have met the requirements of the tier in which they are applying. The examiner is basically checking the math. If it adds up, an auditor takes over and examines the applicant's books to determine whether they have met the requirements for an incentive project. Once the auditor approves the project, the applicant can now begin earning credits.
For most tiers, the entitlement period (the number of years in which the project owner can earn and use tax credits) is seven years. The amount of the tax credits available for use is calculated using a standard formula. The incentives company can then use the tax credits earned to receive a tax refund. The refund is most commonly used for a refund of sales and use taxes, but also can be used to refund payroll taxes or corporate income taxes. For sales and use taxes, the refund can only be for tax paid at the location listed in their incentives application (for example sales tax paid for a corporate retreat at a hotel, or tax paid at an out-of-state location are not eligible). Once the seven-year entitlement period ends the incentives company no longer earns credits, but there is a "carryover period" of varying length when they can continue to use credits.
The incentives company is required to meet the benchmarks for their tier every year within the entitlement period. If they do not meet the requirements in any of the seven years they will be charged back 1/7 of the refunds previously received; future refund claims will be reduced by 1/7 for each year the benchmarks are not achieved.
For example: Company XYZ has an incentive project with an entitlement period of 2012-2018. They have a carryover period from 2019-2023. This means that they are earning credits from 2012-2018. They can use the credits if the tax was accrued any time from 2012-2023, even if they submit their claim after December 31, 2023. (There is a three-year statute of limitations for filing sales tax refunds, unless a request for extension is filed — these extensions are routinely granted)
A common criticism of tax incentives is that we're simply giving away money. I personally worked many claims for several million dollars each in sales tax refunds. The Tyson plant in Lexington received close to $16 million in benefits over the life of their project. (this is publicly available information). The goal, however, is to attract businesses to the state, and to encourage businesses already here to expand their operations. In many cases, if we didn't have a generous incentive program, these corporations would locate elsewhere. The tax refunds are viewed as taxes that the state wouldn't have collected anyway if there had been no incentive program. Of course it's not perfect. It's no secret that companies which benefitted from years of huge tax refunds left the state after their ability to claim refunds ended. (Tyson again) A certain amount of gaming the system occurred as well. Since credits were calculated based on an increase in compensation and investment from a base year, sometimes the base year that was chosen was an unusually slow year where the "increase" was just a return to normal.
When the Nebraska Advantage Act expired there was no doubt that something was going to take its place. At the time the Unicameral was debating what would go into the bill, the public resistance to large data centers had not yet surfaced. The Nebraska Advantage Act had a tier for large data centers, and there were already several that were receiving credits. Millions of dollars in credits. The new incentives bill, LB 1107, would continue the ability of large data centers to receive tax refunds as part of incentives programs. Unlike the culture war issues that so often distract our elected officials, this was a largely bipartisan bill. It passed with 41 votes and with Governor Ricketts' signature. Then Senator Lynne Walz was one of the "yes" votes. *
While it's true that Lynne Walz supported a bill that could result in millions of dollars in tax dollars to be refunded to large data centers, this was merely a continuation of the status quo. It had broad support. It's reasonable to assume that had Pillen been governor at the time, and not Ricketts, he would have signed the bill as well. Pillen is attempting to project current outrage against data centers six years into the past, when such outrage had not reached a boiling point. His ad his dishonest. No surprise there.
* One of the biggest changes in 2020 LB 1107 was that it was jointly administered by the Department of Revenue (DOR) and the Department of Economic Development (DED) instead of wholly by DOR as with previous incentives programs. This change meant that initial approval of a company to participate in an incentives program bypassed DOR's rigorous preliminary audit process. Applicants were able to begin receiving benefits before an initial full audit was completed.






