- People believe that the president is responsible for the economy and most people believed that the state of the economy was bad.
- A president's policies affect illegal immigration and illegal border crossings were up significantly
- Many people who would have voted Democratic, or at least anti-Trump, stayed home because they believed that we were enabling a genocidal war in Gaza.
The economy was the most common reason that I heard among voters who had voted for Biden in 2020 and didn't fit the stereotype of a Trump voter. Despite most metrics indicating that the economy was healthy, including the inflation rate being back to normal (around 2% annually), the results of several years of high inflation had not gone away. Prices are still high and aren't going back down. Many people remembered that there was low inflation during Trump's time in office and contrasted it with Biden's term and came to the conclusion that Trump was better suited to preside over the American economy than Biden or Harris. This belief required one to have no understanding of economics. The high inflation rate was a global phenomenon, not just in the U.S. and was the inevitable result of several interlocking factors. Supply chain issues, ballooning demand in the wake of Covid shutdowns, increased wages and even companies artificially raising prices to take advantage of the situation all contributed. Property taxes for home owners and rents for non-owners were big budget busters - the result of skyrocketing home valuations - a local, not a national issue. Gas prices were much higher during the first few Biden years compared to the last Trump year. Gas prices were low in 2020 mainly because few people were traveling and shot up in 2021 for the same reasons everything else went up - gas prices at least have settled back down to pre-2020 levels. Voters weren't wrong to be frustrated by the lingering effects of several years of high inflation, but ignorantly blamed Democrats for their predicament.
While much of the criticism of immigration policy and border security falls into the tinfoil hat category, there's no question that Biden's approach to securing the border were inadequate. Was it all his fault? It was not, attempts to address the problem through legislation were sabotaged by Trump, who wanted there to be a border problem that he could run against. All many voters saw was a huge increase in illegal border crossings, ignoring the lack of Congressional cooperation. Also ignored was that although illegal crossings were lower under Trump, he was constantly crying wolf about "caravans" and even declared a national emergency at the border so he could divert funds to build his "big, beautiful Wall". Voters were apparently incapable of seeing the nuances of the situation.
Single-issue voters, or just people who thought that the Democrats were no different than the Republicans totaled around 1.6% of total votes nationally (0.5% to Jill Stein). Trump has 50.4% and Harris 48%. I haven't seen the state-by-sate breakdown to determine whether "3rd Party" votes would have made a difference if they had gone to Harris, but it's undeniable that a lot of 2020 Biden voters stayed home. Trump received almost exactly the same number of votes that he won in 2020 - 74 million. Harris however received 10 million fewer votes than Biden did. The most vocal of the anti-Harris, or sit-it-out electorate, were those who were opposed to our support of Israel in their war in Gaza. I'm not going to use this post to talk about what the U.S. should be doing (anyone who thinks they know what the "right" answer is over there doesn't know what they're talking about) but it's clear that no matter what position the United States takes a lot of people will be angry. One thing that is indisputable, our support of Israel's action in Gaza will continue, or even escalate, in Trump's administration.
No matter what the reasoning for voting for Trump, or enabling his election by inaction, no matter how logical it may sound, how perceived self-interest had to prevail, a Trump voter had to be okay with the division, the hatred, the bigotry and the lies. A Trump voter, no matter how "normal" they may seem, had to be okay with his attempts to subvert an election, to rule autocratically, to jail his opponents. A Trump voter has to be okay with his ignorance of how things work, his cozying up to dictators while screwing our allies. A Trump voter has to be okay with the utter contempt with which he holds most Americans, including his own supporters. A Trump voter has to be okay with how he changes what he promises to do based on what gets the loudest applause, or who gives him the most money. A Trump voter has to be okay with his obvious mental decline. A Trump voter has to be okay with the economy being disrupted by increased tariffs and mass deportations. A Trump voter has to refuse to think.
A Trump voter is complicit.
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